WEBVTT

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Russian aviation has been subject to
harsh restrictions for more than two years

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The government allocated funds to support it. A portion
of the funds were used to subsidize domestic airlines

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while the remainder was used to compensate for increased fuel prices.
By the beginning of March, 2022, Russia had 1,290 aircraft in operation

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with 70% being foreign, largely modern Airbus and Boeing models.
They were largely leased, rented with the option to purchase

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Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine,
lessers demanded the return of these planes

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which were seized outside of Russia. Within the
country, the surviving planes were basically confined

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Transport Minister Vitali Soveliev stated that the
government had opted to appropriate someone else's property

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The planes were re-registered in the Russian registry, but
even countries that did not join the sanctions are refusing

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to accept them. Andrei Litvanov, an aircraft
commander, an accomplished Aeroflot pilot

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who retired in 2022, believes that Russian civil
aviation would take decades to recover from its

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current difficulties. He doubts the feasibility
of the government's 70 billion-ruble initiative

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which intends to construct approximately 1,000
planes in Russia by 2030. He also predicts

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significant personnel issues for Aeroflot,
Russia's major airline, in the near future

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Speaking on the Spare's situation, he
told Kodorkovsky Live Channel this month

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China doesn't want to cooperate with us.
They've refused to supply us with spare parts

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Iran somehow finds parts for its planes but it important to understand that Iran operates
old aircraft Modern planes are packed with electronics and you can just install some ancient

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components on them. So comparing these two
types of import substitution is simply incorrect

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Andre Litvanov's arguments are especially
relevant when comparing the Russian and Iranian

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civil aviation situations. The average age of Iran's
commercial aircraft exceeds 25 years, with many

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requiring extensive maintenance. According to
recent reports, Iran has resorted to purchasing

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older aircraft from the Taliban, including a 29-year-old
McDonnell Douglas MD-82, suggesting a failing

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aviation fleet and limited choices for acquiring
contemporary jets. The Iranian Civil Aviation

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Organization has acknowledged the need for around
550 aircraft. However, just 180 are now operational

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In contrast, Russia has a fleet of modern airplanes
that are heavily integrated with innovative

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electronics and systems. These planes employ
sophisticated technology that cannot handle obsolete

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components without considerable modifications. The technology difference between Iran and Russia
is crucial since it impacts operational efficiency, safety, and overall aviation performance

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Speaking about domestic aircraft, Andrei
Litvanov said, as for new planes, the same goes

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for the superjet. It's conditionally Russian,
but 70% of it is made from imported components

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Complete import substitution isn't on the horizon
yet. Production is failing to meet the airline's

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needs One problem leads to another and it all snowballs Aviation is not an industry where you can solve everything with a magic wand This
will stretch on for a long time He further said electronics are the most complex part of an aircraft Take the engine on the superjet

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They keep trying to substitute imports,
but it hasn't even passed certification yet

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Then comes the next problem. They substitute the engine,
only to find out it costs as much as the entire plane

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They started replacing components in the
MC21, and it turned out to weigh six tons more

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than initially planned. This means reduced range,
lower altitude, and it starts becoming economically

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unfeasible. And all these issues need to be solved
in a comprehensive manner, not individually

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Aircraft and helicopters consist of tens of thousands
of parts, and it's impossible to substitute them all

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at once. So how does Russia keep its planes flying?
Russia is using several strategies to keep its

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foreign aircraft operating. Russian airlines are increasingly
relying on local maintenance, repair, and overhaul

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businesses to service Western-built aircraft. For example, S-7 Technics
gained experience repairing CFM-56 engines found in Airbus A320

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and Boeing 737 airplanes. This change enables Russian carriers
to extend the operational life of their current fleets

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without relying on Western sources for spare
parts. S-7 Technics has begun doing sufficient

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Repairs that were previously unavailable locally,
such as work on engines' hot-core components

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This capacity is critical because it eliminates
the need for aftermarket engine replacements

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which are becoming increasingly difficult as a result of sanctions.
With restricted access to spare parts from Western manufacturers

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Russian airlines have turned to cannibalizing components from stopped aircraft This approach
enables them to keep operating jets running by reusing parts from decommissioned aircraft

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Russian airlines are also exploring non-Western buying channels. This strategy
frequently incurs higher prices, yet it is vital for obtaining certain components

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that cannot be obtained from traditional vendors owing to
penalties. In April 2003, Aeroflot dispatched an Airbus plane

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to Iran for repairs, signing a contract for
continuous maintenance services. This collaboration

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is essential since Iran suffers similar aviation
issues and may supply maintenance services

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that are no longer available through Western
suppliers. Despite these efforts, ysts expect

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that Russian airlines will suffer significant
operating limits in the next years due to a lack

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of spare parts and technical support from Western
manufacturers. The viability of their existing

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methods is dubious as they navigate the intricacies
of international sanctions and the aging of

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their foreign fleets. Andre Litvinov says, we
are definitely facing problems with spare parts

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We have to obtain them through third countries.
People are complaining about the work environment

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salaries, flight delays, and cancellations all
due to a shortage of flight attendants in Aeroflot

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All of this, combined with sanctions, is causing
a lot of unrest among the flight crew and people

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are leaving. They're moving to other airlines,
seeking a better life in the CIS, abroad, wherever

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they can. Do you think the Russian aviation
business will deteriorate in the coming decade

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